IBM won't be entering. While they DO make chips, they have no solid consumer-level presence anymore(Heck, even their PC division ended up being sold off to Lenovo). They are making PLENTY of money this gen anyway, since they either manufacture or receive royalties from the processors that power all three of the current competitors. IBM also partnered with Atari to manufacture the Jaguar and we all know how that turned out.
Apple is the most likely candidate to enter the market.
Nokia has been trying to move into the portable gaming market for awhile and theoretically COULD try their hand at the home market, though I think that's doubtful.
As far as one of the current major players leaving... I don't see it happening, at least until the middle of generation 8.
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