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theprof00 said:
GameOver22 said:
Taking polls from the last 21 days is a bit strange. I would have used them from the last week, where a lot of polls were picking up a late Obama surge.


>arguing with Nate Silver about polling data.

Um....yes because the polls over the final week show Obama picking up momentum and winning. It would just be more accurate to use polls over the final week...not the final three weeks. A lot of stuff happens over the last week, like the undecided voters making up their minds, and this was showing movement in Obama's favor. Granted, there does seem to be a Republican bias to the polls, but its nowhere near as drastic as the article makes it seem. Just for instance, he has Gallup at +7.2 and Rasmussen at +3.7 for Romney when both of their final polls show Romney winning by +1.

RCP-You can see the trends pretty clearly.

Edit: Kaz beat me to it. : )