Barozi said:
They already shipped 19m at the end of May: http://windows.blog7up.com/2012/05/29/xbox-360-sales-hit-67-million-kinect-on-19-million/ |
I said it's possible. If they shipped 19 million by May, shipping another 1 million by now seems to fit in well with the figures that we have. I honestly don't know how many units would on store shelves, warehouses, and Amazon warehouses at any given time. Last year on black friday week, there were 750,000 Kinect consoles/sensors sold, so at least 750,000 can potentially be in the pipeline at any given time. I don't remember any mass sellouts last year, so the actual number was likely a bit higher than 750,000. It doesn't seem unreasonable to have 2-3 million in stores or warehouses at a given time.
More importantly though, I don't think the the two or three million difference is very significant. Regardless of the 2 or 3 million difference between VGChartz and Microsoft, the incredibly fast drop off between the "fastest selling consumer electronics product of all time*" and the mild level of success the Kinect is enjoying paints the picture of a fad product. The bigger problems are that the software library of the Kinect is growing at a snail's pace, developer interest in the product is exceedingly low, software sales in general are sad, hardcore fans are not embracing the device, and the Kinect will not help Microsoft win fans over from Nintendo, it hasn't prevented Sony from rapidly encroaching on their market share, and it won't help them compete in the next generation. Microsoft's devotion to this floundering technology can be detrimental to them over the next generation.
