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Never use YouTube view counts as a way to estimate how well a game will perform. For example; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pN0CiFs3U9I and it came out unnoticed and has already forgotten.

If this game is generally accepted as good by the fans and word of mouth is good and the game is as MASSIVELY bundled as Uncharted 3 has been since its launch then I expect 3-4 million sales. If the game is merely recieved as 'OK' and the word of mouth isn't good and the game is bundled massively for just the xmas holidays season then 1-2 million.

I'm just gong to go ahead and guess that it'll do roughly 2.5 million lifetime, a great start for what will become one of Sony's most popular franchises.