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GameOver22 on 25 October 2012
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NightDragon83 said:
GameOver22 said:
NightDragon83 said:
I would say the fact that Romney managed nearly a double-digit swing in the polls, coupled with the fact that Team Obama is now giving up on FL, NC, and even CO, states that everyone assumed were a lock for Obama a mere 24 hours before the first debate, and sprinkle on top a heaping helping of the Benghazi debacle, and there's your recipe for Obama's Diminished Casserole.

Best enjoyed with a side of Big Bird, Binders and Bayonets.

Granted, Romney picked up ground and is ahead in aggregate polls right now, but it was nowhere near a double-digit swing. Even going back to the beginning of the year, you aren't going find that big of a swing.

True he hasn't had anything close to an actual double digit lead over Obama, but I was talking about the swing in net dfference that Romney has gone through from about a month ago, where he was down about 4/5 points in most national polls and is now up 4/5 points in most national polls since the 1st debate.

I know you were talking about swings in net differences, and I'm saying there hasn't been that big of a swing....not even close actually.

Sept.23: Obama-48.6; Romney-44.9: Margin= +3.7 Obama

Oct.23: Obama 47.2; Romney 47.8; Margin= +0.6 Romney

Toatal Change= 4.3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Take into account that the polls tended to indicate that Obama's lead was diminishing before the debate (maybe the post-convention bump was diminishing), you actually have evidence that the swing after the debates wasn't even that big (debate was on Oct. 3, so most polls aren't going to pick up debate bumps until Oct. 5, maybe Oct. 4 for some, becuase of how they report their numbers)