Romney: Debates ‘diminished’ Obama ~ Was Romney watching the same Debates?

[Kasz216]

GameOver22 said:

Kasz216 said:

Mr Khan said:

The first one, definitely. Second and third largely salvaged that.

Edit: worth noting that, as Kasz once said, the poll bump in Romney's favor likely would have happened anyway as more undecideds commit, because things aren't great and Obama is the incumbent.

Yep, it probably just pulled most of it foward a bit.

http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm

I mean... it kinda makes sense. 

http://www.socastee.com/politics/understand_undecided.html

 

To be fair, the first debate did give us the whole intersting Buzz Bissinger affair though.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/10/08/buzz-bissinger-why-i-m-voting-for-mitt-romney.html

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/10/11/buzz-bissinger-on-being-savaged-by-the-liberal-media-after-backing-mitt-romney.html

The only problem I see with that theory is that the polling results haven't showed much movement from the undecided category to another side. Just looking at the trends on RCP, it looks like there are consistently around 6% of the voter saying they won't vote for one of the candidates both post-convention/pre-debate and post-debate. Granted, there might be some movement going on that the aggregate polls fail to pick up, but I think there's more than just undecided movement going on (unless the polls are picking up something besides undecided voters).

Fair enough.  Honestly I hadn't been watching the polls that closely until after the first debate because I thought there was like... zero chance Mitt Romney would get the election close.

I'd still bet 50 to win 25 that Obama will win.  Wonder if I can bet that in vegas... prolly not.