The last Debate! Who Won? Obama or Romney

[Kasz216]

Ssenkahdavic said:

Kasz216 said:

nuckles87 said:
Not really. Mitt does this a lot. He took very different positions earlier in the year and is now reversing himself on all of them because that is now more politically expedient.

Rasmussen was biased an innacurate in 2010:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

Rasmussen was not the most accurate. They were mediocre:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/05/blast-from-rasmussen-past.html

They were also very innacurate in 2000, again biased towards Republicans.

Again... state polls... not remotely the same thing.

National polls they were number 1 for the last two presidential elections in a row.

Until proven wrong it's silly to claim otherwise when they were number 1 the last two elections in a row.

The 2000 mention is just silly, since it was Rasmussen's first year doing a national poll, and they were number 1, the next two presidential polls.

Anyone with any credibility who knows how polling works would consider that a stupid thing to bring up... what them being the best... the last two times.

They clearly adjusted their polling procedures.

This reminds me of some of the VGchartz discussions of the past:

US does not equal the World

Shipped does not equal Sold

National Poll does not equal State Poll

Pretty much.

There are a few factors that could be causing the issue.

One thing I'd be interested is their 2008 senate accuracy numbers.  It could be that they just suck at isolating who won't come out for non-presidential election, or there representative sample could be oddly placed in various local ares, or many other factors.