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dsgrue3 said:
HappySqurriel said:
On polling ...

Over the past several years I have seen multiple elections with results that were drastically different than the polling was predicting; and (as a result of this) I would say that people are over-estimating the accuracy of the opinion polls.

Quite true. However, every single candidate that was over 50% in late October in the Gallup poll has gone on to win the election. That person is Mitt Romney.

Also, every Republican that has won the South Carolina primary has become the nominee, and the nominee is Newt Ging...Mitt Romney. You cant always trust trends.



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