Being that this is on foreign policy, I think Obama is at a huge disadvantage ...
In the wake of the Benghazi consulate attack where multiple warning were ignored, lack of security resulted in the death of an ambassador, and then the government denied that it was a terrorist attack for weeks even though there was evidence from day 1 that it was an organized attack, the Obama administration looks very weak. When you add to this the government refusing to call the Fort-Hood shooting a terrorist attack a pattern starts to emerge.
Beyond that, the Fast and Furious scandal, the Keystone oil pipeline, telling Russia that "he can't speak openly about his plans because of the election", and growing unrest in the middle east can't help Obama much.
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