the wii has a good chance of hitting 50% in my opinion, even if interest in it does fall a little, I think its biggest rival for the last 12 months has been the 360 and that is now shifting to the PS3, but not in big numbers, PS3 sales will increase, 360 sales will decrease, wii sales will stay constant, if not increase when N increase production numbers.
Big hitters like Wii Fit (in the west), Mario Kart, Smash Bros (in the west again) and a few others are too strong. even though the 360 has some big games on the way this year, they're not going to push hardware sales like wii fit or MK.
Nintendo's deck of card is still unbelievably strong after a year on the market, both its competitors have had multiple price drops and fantastic value bundles with 2 or more free games. When sales start to drop for the wii, they can do a number of things to pep them up again.
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