presidential swing state thread UPDATE 10-18, Romney continues momentum

[Kasz216]

chriscox1121 said:

gergroy said:
are polls usually all over the place like this? I can't remember having polls that varied this dramatically in the last presidential race.

For example, marist came out with a poll of iowa showing the president up by 9 points yesterday, and today PPP has a poll out showing Romney up by one point, that is a 10 point spread between the two.

Now, since these polls supposedly have a margin of error of +-4 points, it is actually impossible for both of these polls to even be that accurate. So, how do these polls help if they can't even be accurate within their margin of error?

well it just depends on how the poll is conducted...sometimes polls are more democrat or republican leaning....personally i think the gallop and rasmussen are the two most reliable of them all

Rasmussen's presidential polling has been pretty spot on.

Not sure about Gallup though.  I think they're likely voter metrics are too sensitive and downplay the apatehtic "lesser of two evils" vote.