gergroy said:
GameOver22 said:
gergroy said:
are you confusing independent voters with undecided voters? Because democrats, republicans, and independents do make up roughly about thirds.
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That depends on what you mean by independents. There are only about 10% of voters who are pure independents. The rest of the independents lean towards the Republican or Democratic party. The leaning Independents actually behave more like weak partisans than they do pure independents, meaning they are much more likley to support the party they lean towards. In addition, pure independents are much less likely to vote than the other groups (leaners and strong/weak partisans).
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That doesnt really have anything to do with what we are saying, but good to know, I guess...
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Hmmm....Am I misreading something. You said independents make up roughly 1/3 of the electorate. I'm saying they don't because most people identifying as independents actually have a partisan preference. True independents actually make up about 1/10 of the electorate.