| HoloDust said: I can see Microsoft gaining even more ground in next-gen and being at top of generation, while Sony and Nintendo fighting for 2nd place (and I'm saying this as someone who prefers Sony). |
I don't really see that happening, not unless Kinect 2.0 ends up being revolutionary in terms of improving game-play.
The Nexbox will almost certainly continue to "win" North America, but Microsoft is the weakest of the three brands in the rest of the world. I really see no reason for that to change. Microsoft tossed a LOT of money at gaming this generation, first with timed exclusives and then timed DLC, and they started the generation with a year's lead, but a lot of that momentum faded down the stretch, even with the Kinect spike. They'll finish with by far the lowest sales rate and third in installed base. That's not bad at all, but we're still talking about a system that stole the march on everyone else. When we take that into account, and the PS3's awful launch, I see little reason to assume that the Nextbox won't also have the lowest sales rate next generation; that is, unless they hit with something truely awesome, which is possible. If there is one thing history has taught us about gaming consoles, it's that success or failure in one generation does not automatically translate into the same for the next generation.
