If we look at the end of the last generation, no one would expect Sony and the PS brand to take such a fall.
Nintendo and MS sure didn`t expect and proof is that MS was first on the market, first HD console on the market and first to truly embrace online gaming. On Nintendo`s side Wii had to be because Nintendo knew that another console like GC or N64 just wouldn`t cut it.
Truth is, all these bets worked out for MS and Nintendo: MS stole the marketshare from Sony and Nintendo widened the market.
Of course that Kinect helped a lot the Xbox 360 but at the same time that same boost is fading fast (just look at the data for Kinect adventures and you will see that.
Question is, will a Kinect 2.0 make a difference next gen? I honestly don`t think so.
If Nintendo has lost ground this generation in the red ocean? Yes. Can Nintendo take it back? Yes. Nintendo lost it`s dominance to Sony and Sony to Nintendo and MS. Why can`t things change again?
The question for Nintendo is can Wii U keep appealing to casuals and appeal strongly to the hard core gamers again? I think it can do both things. At least it has all the chances to achieve that goal.
