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So you think Nintendo went from 22m to 15m core audience from GCN to Wii? I don't believe that one bit. If that was the case Brawl would have sold less than Melee. I don't imagine that many casuals playing Brawl.  Metroid Prime 3 increased over 2 in sales which isn't saying too much.  People just aren't that interested in Metroid Prime series.  It is almost to the point of becoming another Fire Emblem sales wise.  It will still make money and there will always be a dedicated fan base but it won't ever be a smash hit.