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spurgeonryan said:

The original Wii was only able to push out around 2.8 million back in the day at its launch but that was from Nov 25- december 31


This is (essentially) what I was thinking ...

I expect Nintendo will probably ship between 3 and 4 million consoles, and if they sold 4 million systems it would be an amazingly successful launch and they would still fall short of the PS3.