Can Gran Turismo 5 still reach 10 million?

[Troll_Whisperer]

Michael-5 said:

Troll_Whisperer said:

Michael-5 said:

Why are you comparing a PS3 game to a 360 game? Each platform has different domographs, different tie ratios, different selling patterns. The average 360 gamer has 1 more game then the average PS3 gamer (9.76 vs. 8.74), and 360 has a much larger base in the combined Americas/EMEAA (Japan is a terrible territory for old game sales due to the used game market).

This is an unfair comparision, change it to GTA IV for PS3 for fairness.

I think he simply chose two games with two very similar patterns so that we can get an idea of where GT5 may end. Even if it's different demographics and whatnot, the two lines are practically overlapping so he considered it to be the best example to see possible future trends. That's what he considered "fair".

That said, this holiday GT5 is going to clearly surpass that line, the games were exchanging 1st position in each holiday bump, but the one for GTAIV at around week 85 didn't put it ahead, so now GT5 will steer clear.

Yea, but the PS3 version of the game is only 500k lower, and it would give us a better idea of how well old games sell on PS3. Like I said 360 has a bigger tie ratio and a larger presence in regions which push late life game sales. I don't think GT5 will hold to GTA Iv's late life pattern.

However 10 million is possible......,but only because of bundles :P

Hmmm, I don't know about the bolded. Why would a larger presence in NA, UK, etc. warrant better legs? I thought these regions were more frontloaded, actually, but I could be wrong.

Anyway, about the legs. GT is a monster in Europe. It's normal that you don't understand its legs because you are from NA, where the game is not that big and you may not understand its demographics.

For example, in the UK PS3 sold 5m and GT5 1m, meaning a 20% attatch ratio. GT is a game with a very wide appeal, the casual audience (or last gen's definition of casual, purchasers of FIFA, CoD, F1, etc.) knows the brand very well, and these people tend to buy brands they know, and they tend to keep buying the game long after release. When someone buys a PS3 and look at the games available, Gran Turismo is one of the games that stand out. Europeans absolutely love cars and GT is the racing game. An the brand is only growing here. It's best selling GT in Europe already and keeps on going, despite the lower user base. Though the decline in Japan and lower interest in NA didn't help its cause.

Of course the bundles help, but all GT's have been bundled to some extent, it's a brand that attracts sales after all.