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ethomaz said:

Year over year comparison.

Jan to Oct.

2011: 1,253,129
2012: 807,078

Mar to Oct.

2011: 473,317
2012: 522.062

I think GT5 is set to sell this year the same amout it sold last year... it's selling better excluding the launch window.

Numbers are good after so many weeks since launch, and the new budget edition gave it new life, but after it missed more ambitious predictions, I didn't realize it was actually doing so well anyway, until you posted these YoY comparisons.

Let's see some possible significant goals for GT5, based on PD data.


http://www.polyphony.co.jp/english/list.html

Gran Turismo Series Software Title List

Worldwide

Title Units (K)*
Gran Turismo 10,850
Gran Turismo 2 9,370
Gran Turismo 3 A-spec 14,890
Gran Turismo Concept Series 1,560
Gran Turismo 4 “Prologue” 1,400
Gran Turismo 4 11,440
Gran Turismo 5 “Prologue” 5,340
Gran Turismo PSP 3,610
Gran Turismo 5 7,430
Total 65,890


Sony and PD have many goals available: if GT5 gets close to GT2, the first obvious goal is 9.5M to beat it, if it can do it easily enough, 10M becomes an obvious goal too, so yes, if it will get close to 10M, special offers and bundles are almost sure to make it reach that goal, taht would mean also 4th best selling GT title ever.

Successive possible goals aren't evenly spaced.

The first successive goal would be 3rd place, that's quite higher than 10M, so Sony won't try to reach it just because it reached 10M, but it could try if only it gets closer.

OTOH 3rd place is close to 11M and not too far from 2nd place.

So, if GT5 gets close to 10M, it's granted that Sony will try to reach it, but if it reaches it slowly, it won't try anything higher.
OTOH, if GT5 keeps on selling well enough to reach 3rd place, Sony will surely try to make it reach the 11M goal, and at that point 2nd place ever would be a far closer and easier successive goal than reaching 3rd place if it arrives at 4th at a slow pace.

So, any goal higher than 4th place and 10M will strictly depend on how fast and with how much momentum left these first goals will be reached.



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