| Max King of the Wild said: Question... if Biden won then why are the Republicans gaining ground in every electoral map I see. I was going to make a thread about this but I didn't see the point. |
I would argue that the polling on this site is not particularly representative ...
In the Romney/Obama debate the public opinion polls had 46% to 67% of voters claiming Romney won, while 22% to 25% of voters claimed Obama won, and this site had it 45% to 30% for Romney. If I was to guess at the partisan skew of this site, I would expect (roughly) 40% of people would favour the democrats, 35% would be independents, and 25% would be Republicans; I suspect that (if we adjusted for partisan preferences) the polls would be closer to the CNN poll where 48% said Ryan won and 44% said Biden won.
With that said, I think the optics of the debate really helped Ryan and hurt Biden which would have had a modest impact on the polls. The Obama campaing has (tried to) paint Paul Ryan as being (essentially) a baby eating troll, and Joe Biden's image has always been the nice guy "champion" of the average guy. I think that Paul Ryan's performance eliminated (some of) the negative image that was being presented, and Joe Biden did far more damage to his nice guy image than I think I've seen in a 90 minute debate before.
