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Sony have Always been strong in the Home market with the Playstation and with the PS3 it went completely wrong in the first 2 years and they have STILL almost sold 70mil and even though the 360 was so much cheaper it still has almost sold the exact same amount.. and its been around a year less!
i don't think SONY will have that big a problem with the PS4 if they release it for around.. £289-£319.99.. any more and there will be a problem.. they have to launch with a big game and another big game coming within 2 months and so on..
It won't be that bad as all developers will flock to the new systems and provide a lot of software where with the Vita they went going to be there regardless.