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I'll say this: in 2005/6 people were all saying the same thing about Nintendo. 'Will go the way of Sega' was the common refrain. Then Nintendo launched the Wii and shut everyone up.

So if Nintendo can do it, certainly Sony can too. However, I've yet to see/hear anything about Orbis/PS4 which makes me think Sony has 'gotten' it. I feel they have lost touch with the market - as seen with Vita.