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spaceguy said:
moondeep said:

This is a ridiculous post.  Romney was stating facts and Obama had no defense.  Just admit that Obama is one and done.


LOL. You are clearly lost. Obama has  78% chance of winning and this is with the debate bump included. Also the bump has not done much and we have not seen what the economic numbers have done.  So in denial, you must admit that Romney lied non-stop, just because you can't fact check. What is obama suppost to do chase him around the stage challenging everything out of his mouth. Then they would have said obama lost because he was chasing romney all night. HE FLIPPED ON EVERYSINGLE ISSUE. HE WAS ONCE FOR SOMETHING, NOW HE IS AGAINST IT.

Based on what?

I'm assuming you're using FiveThirtyEight which is simply aggregating polls, shows both candidates in a statistical dead heat even though there are significant doubts about the methodogy of many of the polls they're aggregating, and makes the "claim" of one candidate's chance of winning which is not supported by any solid statistical evidence.

Realistically, either candidate has a strong chance of winning or losing this election at this point in time because a swing of 0.5% to 1% of the popular vote from one candidate to the other in the battleground states would win either one the presidency.

This week's debate could be nearly as bad for Obama as the one was last week being that Biden is known for saying really dumb things when he isn't using a prepared speech and is trying to impress people. I would say that there is a significant chance that, if Paul Ryan really starts to "win" the debate, Biden could say something remarkably stupid that causes problems for Obama.