The state of the gaming industry in 2014

[JEMC]

spurgeonryan said:

Troll_Whisperer said:

Too hard to predict, we don't even know any details about Sony/MS's next consoles, and we haven't seen how WiiU's launch will be.

But I'll try:

Nintendo: WiiU will do considerably worse than Wii, but considerably better than N64. 3DS will be considerably below DS but clearly dominating the handheld space. I can't say much more.

At this point the 3DS is far ahead of the DS according to Kowenickis thread. With a ton of big name games coming out next year I do not see that changing before 2014.

DS's first year wasn't very good, even the PSP sold more than it. It was during the second year that games like NintenDogs, Brain Training and New Super Mario were launched and the sales exploded. The 3DS won't be able to reach those sales levels.

OT:

Nintendo

3DS will do fine, clearly dominating the handheld space but without being another DS. Japanese developers will love it while westerner ones won't give it too much love.

Wii will be death and WiiU will sell well, not amazingly well as Wii did in its first years but better than PS360 is its good years. Nintendo will announce its first price drop. Third parties will still support it, although we may start to see games that skip it in favour of the other next gen consoles.

Microsoft

Xbox360 will be almost dead. Very, very few games will be launched for it. The Nextbox, launched by Xmas 2013, will sell well in NA (maybe even better than WiiU), good in EU thanks to its sales in the UK and poorly in Japan. Almost every third party will launch their games on it. It will be the most expensive of the three consoles.

Sony

Dismal sales of PSP but good ones from Vita, which will have a larger catalog of games and a better price thanks to the 2012 price cut (with a possible 2nd one in 2013).

PS3 sales will suffer a sharp decline as the newly launched PS4 takes its place.Giving Sony's financial situation, it won't be as powerful as the nextbox, falling in between their 2 oponents but closer to the power of the console of Microsoft. With no weird thing like the Emotion Engine or the Cell, it will be easier to develop for and third parties will get on board. Good sales in EU and Japan but in NA they will be third.