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Mmmfishtacos on 01 October 2012
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S.Peelman said:
Mmmfishtacos said:
I just have to say this is by far the worst prediction I've even seen. And based on what? Current sales? Without a price cut and a true holiday, (if you think December in japan is a true holiday you need to do some research.) I feel that in the end the vita will surprise many of you, 60 + is my guess of what i can see right now. I have faith, mostly in Sony's previous numbers, 100 million PS1's 140 PS2's, 64 million PS3's, 75 million PSP's. Sony has and excellent track record, better than both Nintendo and MS.

No and not really.

The Vita would take like 15 years to reach 60m, even if it's sales straighten out a bit. Again, all is probably going to be decided after the holidays, but as it stands Vita is not going to sell in the same ballpark as the 3DS.

Second, the thread is not about this, so let's leave it after the following. Sure, Playstation made quite a name for itself and it's brand has definitely been cemented among 'the greats', they do not have a 'better track record' than Nintendo. Ignoring the fact that the NES's marketshare was greater than the PS2's in their respective generations and the fact that the size of the market increased, the following is the real standings of either company's top selling devices:

PS2: 154 / DS: 153

PS1: 102 / GameBoy: 119

PSP: 75 / Wii: 97

PS3: 67 / GBA: 82

I'm not denying the Playstation brand made some stellar victories and pulled some impressive feats, this is only a black/white comparison. Of the top 5 best sold consoles though, 3 are Nintendo and 2 are Playstation: #1 and #4 (soon probably #2 and #5). Just to get this common misconception out of the way .


PS2 150 +/ Game cube 21

PS1 100 +/ 64 34

PSP 75/ DS 153

PS3 67/ Wii 96

 Handhelds have always been Nintendo wild card. Nintendo had two consecutive bad home console generations. So far you really can't say Sony s had a bad system yet. And that's why I say Sony has a better track record than the other two.  Also the 140 million ps2 is a pretty old number, it should be reaching past 150 by now.  People said that the ps3 could never catch the 360 nearly 10 million head start and it's looking to pass it soon. So I wouldn't make comments saying it would take 15 years to reach 60. Sony is also capable of turning a struggling console around, Which we haven't seen from the other two. Besides it hasn't had a full year. The bigger games are starting to come out, holiday is coming up, and if all else fails it should receive a price cut by mid year 2013. One way or another they'll sale 10 million of these a year, at least for a few years. It's sad most people aren't even giving it a chance, most haters bash it with out ever picking one up. Even if you never play a single game on it, it's worth the 250 dollar asking price.

edit to fix wii and PS2 numbers, PS1 numbers are lower than they should be, but i cant find the latest data for PS1.