Prediction: The PS Vita will sell under 20m units

[osed125]

I think this and next year holiday season will determinate the fate of the system. I don't have high hopes for the Vita sales this holiday (lack of games, the Wii U, the new PS3 model) so the rest of the year will be really bad imo. Now, Sony have one hole year to release more games and a possibly a price cut, if those things don't help the next year sales, then the Vita will probably not pass the 10M mark by the end of 2013.

There is still more time than just two holidays seasons, but if the Vita sales are bad then third parties will simple not care in the long run, the sales will need a massive boost for them to care enough to develop games for the Vita. My guess it's that the system will sell 30M (max 40M) during it's lifetime.