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we should at leat compare it with LBP psp i don`t know in Europe but in america LBP vita has 2 tome more pre order then the first week in america.

I don`t think it will be a failure



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m