Not saying much because I am tired of reading Badgenome's constant annoying opinions and would rather just analyze the recent polls.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/election_2012
http://electoral-vote.com/
A third of Voters Less Likely to Support Romney Due to Video
A new Gallup poll shows that 36% of voters are less likely to vote for Mitt Romney as a result of the video in which he said that 47% of of Americans are dependent on government and consider themselves victims. In contrast, 20% said they were more likely to vote for him. The rest weren't swayed one way or the other. Among independents, 29% said they were now less likely to vote for him while only 15% were more likely.
An Ipsos poll also just released has similar results: 43% of the registered voters view Romney less favorably as a result of the video. Only 26% felt better about Romney. While the details of the video will be forgotten in a few weeks, the lingering image of Romney as someone who does not care about half the country could remain and hurt him.
Romney Tries to Change the Subject
After a devastating week of criticism over his all-too-hasty remarks about the events in Egypt and Libya, and two devastating days of attacks over the "47% video" what does Romney do to right his ship? He brings up a 1998 audio clip of Barack Obama saying "I actually believe in redistribution, at least at a certain level, to make sure that everybody's got a shot." It is hard to believe. There was no apology from Romney for anything he said, no major speech like Richard Nixon's 1952 "Checkers speech," no indication of any kind that he might have done something wrong or ill advised. Just more attacks, and then with a 14-year-old audio clip.
Republicans Afraid that Romney Could Cost Them the Senate
Presidents often have coattails and Republicans are now worried that Obama's coattails in states like Ohio and Virginia could cost them control of the Senate. John Weaver, a senior advisor to John McCain in 2008, said: "If your guy wins the White House, he's going to sweep in one or two or three Senate races that might not happen otherwise." Other states where a big Obama win could bring in a Senate seat are Nevada, Wisconsin, and Connecticut, all of which have very tight Senate races.
This is big news as it has appeared to have a pretty large affect in close states.
States like Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, Wisconsin and Florida have all swung a little to the left it appears and I hope so.
