@Wiiforever
GTA is very casual(how else would it sell 16 mil)... it targeted towards the one demographic that has not come over to the Wii yet. That being the testosterone overloaded 13-20 year old male group that is willing to pay $60 dollars to kill a hooker or steal a car and run over cops. Generally the people interested in the Wii are appaulled by this game. I also do not believe owning a PS3 or 360 will stop someone from buying a Wii, but I do beleive most people are not willing to invest in two next gen consoles anytime soon(wait til they are under 200 then you will see more of that)
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut