Prediction: Wii U will sell under 40 million units

[archbrix]

HoloDust said:
I think Gamerace is spot on in his analysis - Wii was such a success mostly cause of "casuals", but they have, more or less, moved on - either to social games, mobile games, or, like many folks I know, to Kinect. On the other hand, Microsoft is expanding its audience, and as much as I prefer Sony, I just can't shake off the feeling that next Xbox will have most powerful hardware, killer price offer and lot of "core" inertia, and that will steal even more of Sony's and Nintendo's (Wii) audience. So, although I don't think it's all doom and gloom for Wii U, I don't see it coming nowhere near Wii's numbers, and 40mils seems about right - depending on 3rd party support, maybe even slightly generous

Casual gamers have not suddenly been brain-washed into leaving Nintendo.  The very nature of a "casual gamer" is that they are impulse buyers who trend with what's hot at the moment.  If WiiU becomes the "it" thing to have and offers a fun experience, it is erroneous to assume that many people won't bite; particularly since WiiU's price is right and it will always remain the cheapest console of the 8th gen.

Despite WiiU's current positive buzz as it arrives into the market, it is true that anything can happen in the coming years.  However claiming that it will sell only 40m units?  Well, let's just say the odds are against that.