Fanboy Prediction Thread: Crow Edition

[ranzchic]

colh said: So I finally signed up after a month of lurking. I just wanted to post my 2 cents about HD penetration. According to these sites: http://www.cesweb.org/press/news/rd_release_detail.asp?id=10913 http://ce.tekrati.com/research/news.asp?id=8446 http://www.parksassociates.com/press/press_releases/2005/hdtv-1.html HDTV sales in the US are very brisk. 12 M sold in 2005, and 16M in 2006. Assuming the same level of growth, that would mean 20+ M in 2007. Taking these numbers into effect(plus pre-2005 sales), I would guess that a majority of US households will have an HDTV sometime in 2008. Maybe even sooner.

You made it sound like they are selling 12m in 2005, then another 16M in 2006. This figure is actually 12m total in 2005, and then added 4 million, for a total of 16 million in 2006. Assuming people will buy 7 million more in 2007, 11 million more in 2008 and 15 million more in 2009, it won't be until 2010 until the majority of households have HDTV. And oh, the first link is about digital TV, not High Defintion TV.