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Well depends what Microsoft and Sony has to offer next gen
Depends how much sales they can steal away
Depends how much there consoels cost
Depends what tehy have as laucnh games
Depends how much sales games like Assassins creed 3 and Black Ops 2 really can make if it release on the other consoles and get advertisised on the other consoles heavy (Assassins Creed 3 PS3 Advertising, Black Ops 20X Box 360 advertising)
Depends how much portet games ( Batman, Darksiders, mass Effect, Tekken Tag 2) convined people buy to buy the system
Depends when Sony and Microsoft release there systems

What do i want to say. At this rate it is very difficult to give any prediction. Before the system not released and we can not see how much it sell in like to say the first year on the market and we dont knwo what the competition has to offer any prediction let it be in the low end or the high end is just stupid.Lets wait and drink tea before making such predictions.