VGStockz: General Questions

[Vinniegambini]

Ail said:

Vinniegambini said:

happydolphin said:
Ail, I noticed a cycle in the trends of almost all game makers, around 1 to 2 years after the release of the home consoles. Check the 2nd or 3rd post of the thread, it should be clear and help you trace a roadmap.

I lost on Nintendo because I bet too soon and I was paying interest. A little better play and this is a certified money-maker. The same can be said for TTWO and THQI, EA, Ubi, etc.

Nintendo stocks works as cycles as seen with the Wii - Momemtum and hype drives the stock to its highest levels then once the momemtum fades, the stock follows. I will be in that cycle locking my profits - long term NTDOY for 1-2 years. Ubisoft not so sure, maybe short term until AC3 comes out, then sell. Gaming stocks are a gamble as if they do not release high profile franchises, their stock and revenue suffer.

The only effect a game like AC3 can have is negative. We know the game has been coming for a while and expectations are known based on previous AC sales and already priced into the stock .

I don't see AC3 crushing the previous iterations so the only unknown that can happen is bad sales which would have a downside on the stock...

ATVI always moves up during the launch period of Call of Duty (early November), and so did TTWO during GTA III or IV. So no, I don't believe it is already factored into the stock price. Another example would be TWX, everyone knew Batman: The Dark Knight Rises would be a success but once the release date approched, the stock price skyrocked. I think AC3 can have the same effect in the short term but nevertheless, I don't own the stock and wouldn't either. If we could predict the outcome of every stock we'd be rich by now :p