I took your list, removed all unannounced games (MotorStorm 2, Gears 2, Forza 3), bumped Halo Wars up to a likely AAA, because Ensemble Studios has a great track record, listed the major new IPs that I can think of for each console at the bottom, and labeled all the games that I think won't make it out until '09:
PS3:
Killzone 2 - Not AAA
Singstar - Not AAA
Metal Gear Solid 4 - Likely AAA
Tekken 6 - Possible AAA
Resistance 2 - Possible AAA
SOCOM: Confrontation - Not AAA
Gran Turismo 5 - Likely AAA - 2009
Final Fantasy XIII - Likely AAA - 2009
Total likely AAA titles: 3
Total possible AAA titles: 2
360:
Halo Wars - Likely AAA
Splinter Cell: Conviction - Likely AAA
Ninja Gaiden 2 - Likely AAA
Fable 2 - Not AAA - 2009
Banjo-Kazooie 3 - Likely AAA - 2009
Viva Pinata 2 - Not AAA - 2009
Total likely AAA titles: 4
Total possible AAA titles: 0
New IPs:
PS3:
LittleBigPlanet
White Knight Story
Haze (possibly timed exclusive)
inFamous - 2009
360:
Too Human
Lost Odyssey
Alan Wake (also on PC)
Infinite Undiscovery - 2009
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