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The PS3 won't surpass the Xbox 360 this year. The Xbox tends to be the best selling console in the world during November and December, mainly because of the States' Christmas sales. And for big releases, Assassin's Creed will be a big game for both consoles (not sure if it could move HW sales though). I'm not sure about PS3 releases this winter, but the Xbox has one major release and that is Halo. Halo is bound to move console sales (not a very large move though).