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iFlow said:

2) There are more Xboxes in homes as compared to the date of Halo 3 being released.

The counter point to that is that a larger number of XBoxes do not necessarily mean larger userbase.  I've had to purchase a new 360 since Halo 3 because my old one broke.   So that's 2 XBoxes, but still just one of me.  Second, some XBox owners may have stopped using the console already with this gen winding to a close and it's just sitting in storage collecting dust.  

 

iFlow said:

3) People can't wait to see how 343 does compared to Bungie.

Bungie fanboys and loyalists may not support the game and want to see 343 fail.