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I'm often surprised by the number of "experts" in the industry who seem to have so little understanding of the industry ...

Regardless of whether the Wii U will be as successful as the Wii or not, Nintendo will likely sell everyone they manufactured this holiday season regardless of what games are released. This is assuming (of course) that Nintendo doesn't do something foolish like price it at $600. In the new year the Wii U will likely face a game drought because, as a new system, few developers were willing to risk their investment on a system without an established user base but after June or July the Wii U should start seeing regular releases of games that take advantage of its capabilities. If all goes according to Nintendo's plan the Wii U will be the must have product of holiday 2013.

Things may not go entirely according to Nintendo's plans, and their secondary objective would be to establish themselves as the default next-generation console for developers and gamers before their competition can.


2012 is a huge year for the Wii U for between 1% and 5% of the people who will ever own the system, but it is a relatively small year for the system and it will be difficult for Nintendo to do much that will screw it up