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it should do another 8m this year, thats 24m what the xbox had. plus xbox by this time was like $199, isnt historically 70% of sales achieved below 200 Price point?

say it drops to $200 at 20m and continues the trend of 70% sales after that, that is 65m in sales, now it wont get that high, but it will have an extra 2 years of sales than the xbox 4 yrs vs 6 yrs

say it reaches xbox sales (24m at end of 08) and xbox 3 isnt released until holiday 2011 thats 3 more years of sales, it is currently averaging like 7.5m per year, thats another 22.5m so it is looking at over 45m which would be massive success and increase over the original