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brute said:
well after the huge first day sales in japan im thinking brawl might win

 Eh I'd be surprised.  There is a lot of benfit to releaseing on two different consoles even if the userbase is the same size, let alone larger.

 Japan is a big hope for them though... GTA4 will probably sell less in Japan then Brawl did first week.   If it really does move a lot of product there it does have a chance.  It'd have to be some insane bigger then big name RPG numbers in my opinion though.