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Killzone 2, for two reasons:

1. Sony is willing to sacrifice a hell of a lot of money on a killer app to save their console. Konami? Not so much, unless the game was intended to only be timed exclusive from the beginning. Even then, it's highly unlikely that they'd let even Kojima run rampant with a bottomless game budget.

2. I'm pretty sure Kojima Productions are more experienced money managers than GG. They've just been in the business far longer, and know how to stick to deadlines and budgets (though sometimes delays are inevitable).