| Hamister said: Educated estimates?? This is nothing more than guesses made by analyst wannabes. Nothing more, folks. Predicting the future like this is stupid. There is no way to make an educated estimate of the video game market 10 years into the future. Not even 5 years. I'd say predictions beyond 12-18 months, is just as unpridictable as guessing the end of the world. Since Wii is aiming for a market we know nothing about (the casual market), I'd say all sale predictions are like target practice by a blind person. I do these predictions myself. And for each extra month included, I increase the margin of error. With predictions 12-18 months into the future, the margin of error has increased to a degree that it's just silly to make any kind of sale prediction. With that said, I agree with some of the conclusions made by thetonestarr. However, I refuse to even suggest any figures for potential life time sales. |
Not that hard, just going on historical data you can easily see that sales will be higher than PS2, the questions is how much higher, a question that depnds on the size of Wii's blue ocean, right now it seems huge, but it is a hard thing to judge
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
