SvennoJ said:
brendude13 said:
Jon-Erich said:
30% marketshare? After six years? Didn't DVD get a higher marketshare in half that time? I think Blu Ray was a terrible investment. Sony should have just let Toshiba do the HD-DVD thing and saved themselves the trouble of investing and standardizing a new disc format. Besides, a physical successor to DVD isn't really needed. It took so many years for a disc format to finally come along to replace VHS. In the 10 year period between the time when DVD became popular and when digital downloads would become more of a norm, where is there room for Blu Ray in all of this? I think in another few years, Blu Ray will become a useless format outside of gaming, and as we have seen from companies like Nintendo, some are willing to invest in formats of their own. I debated with people about this back when Blu Ray first hit the market. I predicted that it would not be as big as DVD and so far, it seems like I'm right. |
A physical successor to DVD was needed. 480i was far too dated and 50hz needed to be scrapped for good.
Blu-Ray will not be succeeded by any other physical disc for quite some time, the only thing that will succeed it will be digital downloads.
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I remain hopeful it will happen.
Media Type - Ultra-high density optical disc
Encoding - MPEG-2, MPEG-4 AVC (H.264), NGVC (H.265), VC-1
Capacity - 6TB
Developer - HSD Forum (Sony, Hitachi, Mitsubishi, Apple, Fuji, Konica, Nintendo)
Usage - Data storage, High-Definition video, Quad HD video, Ultra HD video
Rumoured launch - 2016
Rumoured systems - HVD disc drives, HVD video players, HVD video recorders, PlayStation 4
2016 and the ps4 don't seem likely, but I think it will happen.
2160p and 4320p are coming to display panels. TVs are upto 70" already. I watch movies on a 92" 1080p screen and although the resolution is just good enough from 9ft away, the compression artifacts on blu-ray are still pretty bad. 40mbps is very low bandwidth for 1080p video. Your 2K digital cinema equivalent runs at 250mbps.
Digital downloads will compete more with the low end market. There will still be a market for high end cutting edge HD.
HVD will be out sooner then fibre optics reach my town anyway. Until then I'm stuck with max 10mbps and annoying download limits. Sure I watch Netflix too, it's very convenient, but the quality just isn't there. Putting on a blu-ray after is like cleaning a layer of dust of the screen and switching from mono to surround sound.
Technology is moving on, 4320p broadcasts of the olympics
http://www.prosoundnewseurope.com/newsletteraudio4broadcast-content/full/super-hi-vision-and-22-2-audio-tests-for-london-2012
That would be cool to watch.
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I agree that disc is mighty. The problem is the average consumer. From what I understand UDOD is predicted even more expensive to release than what Bluray was. And the public just havent in 6 years adopted it a a successful rate. I ave Blurays but cant lend tem to my friends because they dont have Blu Ray players.
I know more with Netflix subscriptions than I do with Bluray players.
Luckily Broadband in my city is readily available at 20 - 100 mb. With no caps. In fact Ive not seen a provider with capped for 5 years now. Virgin, Sky, BT, Talk Talk etc all offer fast Broadband wit no caps at amazing prices. I pay 8.99 GBP/month for 20mb Broadband ( average around 18mb ) with no cap through Talk Talk. And thats not an offer.
I dont think there will be a successor thats close to Bluray adoption for film ever. IMO Itunes really started the love for DL.
I love some films on Blurays, but others just dont look that different from good 1080p Downloaded sources like Xbox Live etc. There is a difference but not massive. And I play trough what many still consider one of te best players on the market. PS3.
