Ship v Sold Wii/PS3/360 - Dec 2013 and post adjustments.

[neerdowell]

kowenicki said:

neerdowell said:
Not sure if it's been mentioned already but for what it's worth, personally I think that Microsoft is shipping right where they probably want to be. If anything, I think retailers have probably known about the new models for the PS3 and likely don't want to be stuck clearing them out, so they have intentionally ordered less.

The 360 might be slightly undertracked but not as much as indicated by shipping discrepancies.

Except there is no way retailers would know 6 - 12 months in advance so that doesn't really work for the figures here does it? and secondly the release of the new version is apparently delayed due to too high stock of existing PS3's in the channel.

and for your last sentence.... how can you possibly know that and what is that statement based on?

If the internet is aware of new models months before they launch I am sure retailers are aware a significant time before. Particularly since any excess stock will have to be sold at a loss on either the retailer's or Sony's side i am sure Sony lets them know well in advance so that they can clear stock gradually rather than all at once. As for the article you posted, that concerns the auto industry mostly and likely companies which are in a better position to rebound than Sony (with its financials and restructuring).

I was basing MS's numbers on the averages for how much MS usually has in the channels as shown in the OP. Now, perhaps those numbers are not entirely accurate; however, they are all the information I have to go on. I could speculate on how much MS usually has in the channels but that would be baseless. Basing a speculative argument on speculative numbers seems like a recipe for disaster.

Another thing to note is that MS sees most of its sales in strong surges around the holidarys, whereas Sony sees steady sales throughout the year. It would be possible for retailers to stock units at the last minute; however, this would be dependant upon MS having those units available which would depend on them ramping up production around the holidays which would increase their operating costs. It seems more reasonable that retailers maintain higher levels of stock so as to avoid lost sales during the holidays. This is also collaborated by the Wii's high stock levels, which also sees larger holiday sales.