I don't think Nintendo is keeping Sony from having this on the Vita, I think it's Sony, for whatever reason, choosing not to bring it over. I can't see how that would be, seeing how well Monster Hunter did on the PSP. So my guess is that there most definitely is a Monster Hunter game in the works for the Vita. Now the question is, is it a slow-going development issue (and they don't want to announce/tease anything too soon) or is it a Sony issue, meaning they want to wait for just the right time to show or announce the product. Sony has two new IP to show off at GamesCon soon, could be shown or announced there. More likely is that it will be shown at TGS.
Regardless, Sony isn't simple, although they seem to appear/act that way more often than not. They know MH game would bolster Vita sales in Japan, where they're desperately needed, and the rest of the world for that matter. Be patient, it will happen. I, like everyone else, am tired of waiting though.
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