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It will spike immediately, but then AT BEST match previous Q4 sales. More than likely it will still be a YoY decrease for the Q4 and year overall.

The market is essentially saturated between them all and will only continue to shrink. Plus, with WiiU launching and the interest peaked for other new consoles... its only real benefit is allowing Sony to go from a 12% decline to maybe a 10% for the year while reducing the cost of the consoles and possibly increasing the margin per unit.