kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
Updated with 360 numbers.
88 days supply, just keeps going up. Those retailers love looking at piles of those shiny white and green boxes. |
Nope your numbers are wrong, it's 80 days worth of supply.
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68.3 - 67.165 = 1.135 million in supply.
1.13m / 90k p/week (and falling) = 12.5 weeks = 87.89 days
no?
Also I'm being generous, the weekly figure is falling, so an average of 80 to 95k may be the norm in the coming weeks and months. Which makes it even worse.
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During the last Quarter (March 31st till June 30th) according to Vgchartz the 360 sold 1,287,223. For that 13 week period that is an average of 99,000 per week.
As of the 30th of June Vgchartz xbox360 LTD is 67,165,080 and Microsoft's shipped number is 68.3m, which is a difference of 1,134,920.
1,134,920 xbox360's in the retail chain with average weekly sales of 99,000 = 80.25 days worth of supply.
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i see... except thayt the supply chain now is for the coming weeks... lol
they dont order in early June based on April, they order in early June based on June and July expectations and how many they are currentl selling. retailers do count how many they sell you know... on a DAILY basis.
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Except the problem with your method is that basing your whole formula on only one or two weeks worth of sales at the end of each quarter is completely flawed when:
1. Only using one or two weeks worth of data means you open yourself up to potential sales spikes during that time which make your numbers worthless when trying to work out a reasonable average.
2. Using your own argument against you, the sales at the end of June are not reflective of the sales during August so you can't say how many days worth of supply any company really has.
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1. Sales spike? for what? retailers know their market and they speak to the manufacturers (where is our Gamestop inside man when you need him)
2. Like I said, I was being generous. It is actusally even worse that i stated.
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1. During various weeks of the year things happen which cause sales spikes or sales drops, your method does not take this into account if one of those events i just mentioned happen to take place during the one or two weeks worth of data you take to come up with 'average weekly sales' .
2. Right so do you think that when July-Septembers numbers are in, the actual real average weekly xbox360 sales for those 13 weeks will only be 90,000? lol
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"the actual real"... what does that even mean? according to who?
I'm done here... I have made my point and I dont want to carry this on, it will just turn ugly.
you might want to take a stab at that PS3 question I posed before you go though.
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When Vgchartz has posted all the weekly sales numbers for the next 13 weeks (July-September) for the xbox360 and you add them up and divide by 13 to get the average weekly sales for that quarter, do you really think the average will only be 90,000? lol
