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kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
cookingyourmama said:
kowenicki said:
Updated with 360 numbers.

88 days supply, just keeps going up. Those retailers love looking at piles of those shiny white and green boxes.

Nope your numbers are wrong, it's 80 days worth of supply.


68.3 - 67.165 = 1.135 million in supply.

1.13m / 90k p/week (and falling) = 12.5 weeks = 87.89 days

no?

Also I'm being generous, the weekly figure is falling, so an average of 80 to 95k may be the norm in the coming weeks and months. Which makes it even worse.

During the last Quarter (March 31st till June 30th) according to Vgchartz the 360 sold 1,287,223. For that 13 week period that is an average of 99,000 per week.

As of the 30th of June Vgchartz xbox360 LTD is 67,165,080 and Microsoft's shipped number is 68.3m, which is a difference of 1,134,920.

1,134,920 xbox360's in the retail chain with average weekly sales of 99,000 = 80.25 days worth of supply.

i see...  except thayt the supply chain now is for the coming weeks... lol

they dont order in early June based on April, they order in early June based on June and July expectations and how many they are currentl selling.  retailers do count how many they sell you know... on a DAILY basis. 

Except the problem with your method is that basing your whole formula on only one or two weeks worth of sales at the end of each quarter is completely flawed when:

1. Only using one or two weeks worth of data means you open yourself up to potential sales spikes during that time which make your numbers worthless when trying to work out a reasonable average.

2. Using your own argument against you, the sales at the end of June are not reflective of the sales during August so you can't say how many days worth of supply any company really has.