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Hm, I want the pricing to be something like:

16gb - $149-169
250gb - $199
500gb - $249

Prices cuts all around!

But my gut tells me the pricing will be more like:

16gb - $199
250gb - $249
500gb - $299

Thus improving the value of the two current SKUs while achieving a new, lower price point with a new SKU.

However, if their intent is to keep Nintendo from gaining any significant momentum with Wii U, they may go with the former pricing scheme.

If they weren't releasing a 16gb SKU, I'd say it's a given that they'd go with $199/249 price points for the other two SKUs. And slimming down the console is intended to cut costs, so it's certainly feasible that the two current SKUs could get a $50 cut.