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I have been looking at the impact the New Deal had on poverty. Only thing I found regarding possible impact of welfare on poverty is this on Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Welfare%27s_effect_on_poverty

Apparently, overall, when welfare gets implemented, poverty rates decline, according to this page. This is looking at multiple countries besides the United States. Would want to see a bigger picture of a chart at least of poverty rates in the United States, not just the 1950s, but also to the Gilded Age to.