dsage01 said:
Allfreedom99 said:
Did you read my previous response to you in my massive book post?
The jump from Batman Begins to The Dark Knight is very understandable. When Batman Begins was released much of the movie going audience was probably in the mindset of where the last Batman movies left off....of which Batman and Robin was dredfully bad. Many movie goers just werent interested until more people saw it when it came out on physical media. Then they realized it was really good.
The Dark Knight had a HUGE draw. previews depicted an intense storyline with the king of villains...the Joker. Trailers looked extremely good and audiences were itching for the next Batman. Throw in Heath Ledger's last full movie and you have a historic blockbuster on your hands.
Audiences loved the Dark Knight so many of them will return for The Dark Knight Rises. My issue however with your prediction is the $300 million domestic opening weekend. This is virtually impossible when you look at the data and all the facts. EVEN IF it breaks the record for Widest opening Theatre release which is currently set by Twilight:Eclipse Which was 4,468 locations there is simply not enough locations available that could generate enough for it to have a $300 million opening weekend. I think the best potential it could possibly have would be in the low $200 million range but I don't see a possibility of it going anywhere north of $220 million opening weekend. While it is true that there are a lot more IMAX locations now when compared to TDK, it is also true that it is not being released in 3D. The added IMAX locations will help its initial opening weekend, but not having 3D will hurt its potential. Avengers shattered the record for average $ per theatre at $47,698 from 4,349 locations. Many theatres were sold out. Even if TDKR matches that $ per theatre (which is extremely unlikely due to no 3D release) and breaks the Widest Release record at lets say 4,500 locations we are still looking at a $214.6 million opening weekend. Not even a prayer of reaching $300 million.
Honestly I hope this movie does very well. I LOVE this series, but I don't see any possibility of it going anything past the $220 million mark. If this movie even hits $215 million mark it would be on the grounds of a miracle.
My prediction was $181 million. At its very absolute best it will be in the $205-$215 million range if it definitely comes close or breaks the widest theatre release record.
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Okay I'm just expecting it to beat the Avengers World Wide Total nothing more. And it will probably beat the record for opening weekend domestically and World Wide. Lets make a bet if the Dark Knight Rises gets an 80% + fresh from Rotten Tomatoes and at least an intial score of 7.2 from IMDB I beleive it will break the domestic opening weekend record. And you prediciting by your $181 million weekend box office say it will not do a better weekend box office than the Avengers. So if the Dark Knight Rises gets a higher weekend BO following the nessescites I win the bet if the Dark Knight Rises does not do better domestic weekend BO than the Avengers following the minimum expectations you win the bet. Deal?
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keep in mind the current record for World Wide opening weekend is held by Harry Potter DH P2 and stands at a staggering $483.2 Million. Avengers was $392.5. Dark Knight was $199.7 (Granted it hadn't opened in all territories yet, but that is the case with many movies). I understand its not part of your bet but if you think TDKR "will probably beat the record for opening weekend World Wide" it would be a huge and daunting feat. It will have impressive World Wide opening weekend numbers but to get the record is something else entirely.
