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What's going to hurt Batman's bottom line the most when compared to Avengers is that it's not a bright, colorful, family friendly movie. I think Bane is going to beat Batman down for an extremely long amount of time--to the point where it's uncomfortable to watch. Also, there's no 3D version of the film. On top of that, the Joker is THE Batman villain. I love Bane but there are plenty of Bat-Villains that are ten times more iconic than him. Hell, they could have gone with Deathstroke or Deadshot or Lady Shiva or something. At least somebody in marketing decided it was a good idea to include Catwoman.

It will fall just short of the Avengers. In a perfect world, the better movie will be the one that grosses more. Unfortunately, we don't live in a perfect world.

I don't know enough about box office figures to accurately predict how much it will make. Forgive me for not following the format.